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Current Used Vehicle Market Conditions: Q2 2024

July 29, 2024
3 MIN READ

May/June 2024 Kontos Kommentary

以下评论由ADESA Auctions首席经济学家Tom Kontos撰写.  

批发价格在5月份连续第二个月下降，并在6月中旬继续下降, 由于不太令人印象深刻的2024年春季/税收季节市场提前结束. Nevertheless, 批发和零售二手车市场的条件是服从一个较小的持续下跌的价格 than seen last year, as much of the correction to historical patterns of depreciation, 与新车相比，季节性和价差已经发生了.

Wholesale Market Trends*

根据ADESA美国分析服务公司每月对拍卖行业二手车价格的分析，按车型分类, wholesale prices in May averaged $14,329—down 1.6% compared to April, down 11.1% relative to May 2023, and up 23.4% versus pre-pandemic/May 2019, as shown below.

Wholesale Market Trend

环比降幅最大的是流行的紧凑型SUV/CUV和紧凑型轿车, 也许表明随着春季市场的结束，经销商对这类单位的需求正在减少. 总体平均价格在6月份进一步下降，为14美元,122 for the week ending June 16.

通过保持拍卖销售类型不变，可以进一步了解批发价格趋势, 车型年龄和里程（下图中上线）, which represents “Late-Model” units), as well as price trends for all vehicles sold (the lower line in the graph below).

Wholesale Market Trend

As the graph indicates, “新车型”二手车的平均价格在5月份显示出持续的强劲势头，而不是整体价格的下跌. However, 这些新款汽车的平均价格在6月份有所回落，为24美元,854 for the week ending June 16.

A spreadsheet 本节提供了按模型类划分的表格和图表的历史数据，以方便您跟踪这些趋势.

Retail Market Trends

下面的图表总结了ADESA US分析服务公司对NADA和Motor Intelligence数据的分析, respectively, 5月份零售二手车和认证二手车销售数据.

Wholesale Market Trend

Wholesale Market Trend

数据显示，年初至今，二手车零售额为0.6%.9% below year-ago levels, and 14.5% below pre-pandemic levels. CPO销售额同比略有增长，目前占特许经销商二手车销售额的五分之一, as consumers seek affordability and value.

*Source: 本部分的分析是基于250多家美国最大的零售商的600多万笔年销售交易.S. 批发汽车拍卖，包括ADESA US以及其他拍卖公司. ADESA美国分析服务公司对这些交易进行分类，以研究车辆模型类别的趋势, sale type, mode-year, etc.
Disclaimer: 本文所提供的观点和分析与整个汽车再营销行业有关，可能与ADESA US没有直接关系. The views and analysis are not the views of ADESA US, its management, its subsidiaries or its parent companies; and their accuracy is not warranted.
Forward-Looking Statements: 本报告所载的陈述和ADESA美国的陈述, its management, 其子公司或其母公司可就本报告作出非历史事实的口头陈述(包括, but not limited to, expectations, estimates, 有关行业和业务的假设和预测可能属于前瞻性陈述. Words such as “could,” “should,” “may,” “will,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “promises,” “likely to,” “outlook,” “potential,“项目”及类似表述均为前瞻性陈述. 前瞻性陈述受风险和不确定性影响，可能导致实际结果与预测结果存在重大差异, expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. 可能导致或促成此类差异的因素包括在Carvana公司确定的“风险因素”中披露的事项.’s Securities and Exchange Commission filings. ADESA US及其子公司或母公司均不承担更新任何前瞻性陈述的义务.